A Note About the Unnamable

In Mexico, he's rarely referred to in public (at least not negatively) because if you mention "Carlos Slim" at a gathering or in the press, influential people listen way too closely.
 
Mr. Slim is linked to just about everything Mexican: banks, railroads, retail, parking, highways, real estate and of course telecommunications. 
 
His company, Telmex, is the owner of 92% of Mexican phone lines nearly 20 years after privatization. Its sister company, América Móvil, is Latin America's top mobile carrier and owns nearly 3/4 of the Mexican cell phone market.
 
Later this year, Mr. Slim plans to merge both companies into a single corporate unit. He and his advisors anticipate no opposition from Mexican lawmakers.
 
The Other Carlos
 
The "Unnamable" also refers to Mr. Carlos Salinas de Gortari, the ex-president of Mexico and NAFTA co-signer who cut "THE DEAL" with Mr. Slim. 
 
Although American and European critics often question the ethics of this arrangment, few understand its political and social dynamic.
 
For starters, the accusation that Mr. Slim was a prestanombres (name lender) amounts to a non-issue, as "borrowing" someone else's name has always been a common and widely accepted business practice in Mexico.
 
If the deal was indeed "murky", it was no different than any other Mexican presidential accord. Besides, Mexican politicians have rarely been required or expected to make their finances public. 
 
In a word, privacy in Mexico (as it is in many places) is worth more than transparency.
 
In the end, Messrs. Salinas and Slim pulled off one of the great politico-business deals of the late 20th century, rivaling even the Russian government petro firesale of the 1990's.
 
Which is to say that Mr. Slim is not only a shrewd businessman but also a highly astute politico.
 
Model Citizen
 
At closer look, Mr. Slim's thrift, family values and unvarnished patriotism also make him an ideal Mexican role model. 
 
The fact that his company continues to operate as a monopoly and he owns a disproportionate share of his nation's economy (at one point, nearly 40% of Mexican stocks) is not a critique of the man per se but rather the politics and culture in which he lives.
 
When in Rome, do as the Romans.
 
Many of his supporters cite the trickle down effect, emphasizing the benefits of capital concentration to infrastructure and industrial development. But this doesn't seem to have happened, at least not to an extent tangible to most Mexicans.
 
Besides, economists have argued that certain social, cultural and economic conditions must be present (e.g., a middle class, access to capital, social mobility) for the benefits from capital concentration to accrue. 
 
In Mexico, wealth has been amassed in relatively few hands throughout its history, so the returns have already diminished.
 
This fact has not been lost on Mexican leaders. The majority of federal legislators are aware that Telmex's rates are among the highest in the world. They understand that legislation enacted 20 years ago was supposed to break up a monopoly, not extend it. 
 
Yet nothing meaningful to curb Mr. Slim's grip on Mexican telecommunications has been achieved.
 
That's the real story of the Slim fortune: omissions of the Mexican political elite who in practice continue to condone (many would even say protect) Mr. Slim's oligopolic industrial might.
 
The Daily Toll
 
Out of public earshot, Mr. Slim is called many things, most reflecting how people instinctively feel about the idea of a single man owning so much. (At last official count, he owned over 6% of Mexican GDP - surely an underestimate).
 
"Do you know what Slim means in Arabic?" asks one Mexican to another. (Mr. Slim's forebears are from Lebanon).
 
"No, what?" asks the other.
 
"Salinas!"
 
These names invariably mirror the inequity of vast resources concentrated in the hands of so few.
 
A report issued last year by the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) revealed that Mexico had the worst level of income inequality and poverty among the group’s 30 member states.
 
But this critique is not about Mr. Slim; it's about how he got there and how his monopolies continue to operate.
 
Every day, Mexicans invest a considerable share of their daily allowance to Mr. Slim's holdings: bank fees, tolls, parking, coffee, pastries, clothing, hotels, electronics, Internet access and of course every phone call made via land or cell through Telmex, Telcel, ATT and any other Mexico-based carrier.
 
Mr. Slim (and Mr. Salinas, no doubt) get a piece of it all.
 
Shadow Wealth
 
Although Mr. Salinas has never made the Fortune list, he continues to be one of Latin America's richest men. In Mexico, where he also remains at the epicenter of politics, few know (or openly question) where his wealth comes from. 
 
Before the Telmex deal was struck in 1990, Mr. Slim was already a major contributor to Mr. Salinas' campaigns.
 
In his book Bordering on Chaos, journalist Andrés Oppenheimer describes a dinner organized by Mr. Slim at which Mr. Salinas solicited contributions from 30 prominent Mexican businessmen. 
 
Although Mr. Slim reportedly "wished the funds had been collected privately, rather than at a dinner, because publicity over the banquet could 'turn into a political scandal'", the tycoons at the gathering contributed an average of $25 million apiece. 
 
Favors like this don't take place every day: one dinner, 750 million dollars.
 
"He made his billions because of an extremely close and advantageous relationship with the Salinas government," says professor George W. Grayson, a Mexican policy expert at the College of William & Mary. 
 
Nobody will ever know the details of "THE DEAL", but that's how things work in Mexico (and much of the world). Recently Slim has been investing in all major political parties, ideology aside, a common practice among Mexico's super rich. 
 
The Slim Legacy
 
At a recent dinner in New York City, Mr. Slim was presented with an award from the World Education and Development Fund for his work on infrastructure in the developing world. At the event, Mr. Slim told the audience: "Many people want to leave a better world for their children. I'm trying to leave better children for my world."
 
At first, people weren't sure they heard the word "my", but in retrospect, what a fitting way to describe it. 
 
Mr. Slim has indeed created his own world, a $150 billion business empire whose shadowy government dealings and spectacular growth has turned him into the world's richest man.
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Filed under  //   economics   Mexico   monopoly   social injustice   Telmex  

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Critical Mass: A Wake Up Call

It's a shame that most people will not read the book Critical Mass: How One Thing Leads to Another by Philip Ball. In essence it's an antidote to media hype and academic air-spinning, a physics-based approach to social science capable of emancipating the individual and seeing with our eyes wide open.

The desire to simplify for the sake of analysis - to categorize, if you will - explains to a large extent why the human race has survived. Yet too often, our categorization contradicts the essence of how things are.

For example, our binary approach to science (empirical or rational); our metaphysical dichotomies (Darwinism or God); and friction-less utopian assumptions (economics), still bitterly divide us.

In truth, we are both made and simultaneously make ourselves. We are free to be who we are while, at the same time, are subject to inexorable laws.

Choice and certainty are both part of the same package.

Even if things are going to end up in a foreseen manner (e.g., death, taxes), we can't be sure just where along the path we are at any given moment. Just as snowflakes conform to mathematical laws, so too humans, each unique as individuals but, as a general population, often predictable.

In this way, even the logic of game theory becomes no more than an expendable tool in the shadow of ideology. Why? Because people turn things and ideas to their advantage. Isn't that part of our nature? 

As Napoleon Bonaparte once said: "all great captains have performed vast achievements by conforming to the rules of nature -- by adjusting efforts to obstacles". In the same way, all great thinkers must test their ideas by adjusting to how things really are. 

But they often don't. As Mr. Ball puts it: "Once we acknowledge the universality displayed in the physical world, it should come as no surprise that the world of human social affairs is not necessarily a tabula rasa open to all options"

In sum, this book may help liberate readers from "the propensity for linear thinking and to encourage a greater sophistication in their perception of cause and effect".

Which is exactly what we need, now more than ever.
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Filed under  //   economics   philosophy   physics   social science  

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The Poor Taxista

In Polanco along Mazarik, I climbed into a taxi driven by a diminutive man resembling an Indian of the lowest caste with wide creases in his face and ragged clothes. If he wasn't driving the taxi I'd have mistaken him for a homeless person.

It was before 8 am on a Sunday morning, and as I settled into the back seat, he began talking with quiet urgency about how the rich suffered and how things flow in cycles. Imagine an impoverished man talking about the ebb and flow of wealth at 8 am in the morning!

I tried changing the conversation, but he always turned it back to the wealthy. At the corner of Reforma and Río Tiber, he pointed to the front entrance of the St. Regis, the newest (and perhaps most exclusive) residential development in the city.

"What will happen if they can't fill up this place?" he asked, almost to himself.

As he spoke I peered at his reflection in the rear view mirror. I asked him about his childhood.

"Oh yeah, my boss had it tough alright..., my dad left when I was 2," he said. "I remember how it felt when I had to leave my friends at school". His "boss" couldn't afford to eat without removing her kids from elementary school, so he and his siblings did hard labor each day for 12 hours. "I started when I was about 7," he said. "And I've been working all day ever since".

Although in his 50's, he appeared much older, with deep creases in his forehead and practically no teeth, a thinker without education, reflecting calmly on the trials and tribulations of the well-to-do.

I looked down at my clothing: worn denims, a Levi's shirt, faded sneakers.

We met in Polanco, the swanky part of town. He spoke to me with calm intensity, broken in body but lucid in mind.

As I left the taxi, I couldn't help but remember a Buddhist phrase about cycles of "conditioned existence"; about people who understand the noble truth that causes both suffering and the way leading to its end. 

Somehow this poor man - in his own fashion - had discovered the way out. 

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Filed under  //   economics   Mexico   society   spirituality  

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Mexico's internal consumption to hit lows in 2010

As another confirmation of the long-standing idea that when America sneezes, Mexico catches pneumonia, the Mexican business association of Mexico State (AIEM) believes that Mexican spending on goods and services in 2010 shall fall between 3% and 20%.

Surely the Mexican authorities share a fair share of the blame, as they were much too slow to react to the greatest global recession in 50 years. But no worries... most of these high-flyers and bureaucrats are immune to the recession's devastating effects. For ordinary Mexicans, however, it's a different story.

Cuevas Dobarganes, VP of the Ecatepec region, recently commented that "if people aren't buying now, it's because they're out of work, earn less or have decided (as a precautionary measure) to spend less". In his view, this diminished spending shall severely affect the internal market.

"While businesses can expect lower sales, consumers shall be forced to pay higher prices, as establishments begin to charge more money to cover operational costs."

During 2009, the worst hit sectors included automotive, construction and furniture manufacture, which sustained losses up to 80%. In 2010, tourism-related businesses such as hotels, restaurants and entertainment venues shall be most affected. 

The Mexican people once again must bear the brunt of its leaders' mistakes. 

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Filed under  //   business   consumption   economics   Mexico  

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About

Mine was a clamorous New York childhood spent on boardwalks and in delis between the south shore and the teeming Metropolis. Since childhood, I've strolled with Sicilians and strutted with Latins. Which explains nothing about life in a big Latin American metropolis. Cheers to a big world!